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Statistical Analysis of High-Level Features from State of the Union Addresses

Trevor J. Bihl and Kenneth W. Bauer
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Trevor J. Bihl: Department of Operational Sciences, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH, USA
Kenneth W. Bauer: Department of Operational Sciences, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH, USA

International Journal of Information Systems and Social Change (IJISSC), 2017, vol. 8, issue 2, 50-73

Abstract: A computational political science approach is taken to analyze the State of the Union Addresses (SUA) from 1790 to 2015. While low-level features, e.g. linguistic characteristics, are commonly used for lexical analysis, the authors herein illustrate the utility of high-level features, e.g. Flesch-Kincaid readability, for knowledge discovery and discrimination between types of speeches. A process is developed and employed to exploit high-level features which employs 1) statistical clustering (k-means) and a literature review to define types of speeches (e.g. written or oral), 2) classification methods via logistic regression to examine the validity of the defined classes, and 3) classifier-based feature selection to determine salient features. Recent interest in the SUA has posited that changes in readability in the SUA are due to declining audience capabilities; however, the authors' results show that changes in readability are a reflection of changes in the SUA delivery medium.

Date: 2017
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