Relation between Chance Discovery and Black Swan Awareness: From the Viewpoint of Abduction and Affordance

Akinori Abe
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Akinori Abe: Department of Letters, Chiba University, Chiba, Japan

International Journal of Knowledge and Systems Science (IJKSS), 2013, vol. 4, issue 1, 62-76

Abstract: Researchers have been researching for chance discovery more than 10 years. The aim of chance discovery is discover something, but chance discovery is rather different from data mining. In 2007 Taleb introduced a concept ``Black Swan.’’ Taleb uses this rare black swan metaphor to explain how general persons tend to ignore rare or novel events and the importance of being aware of such rare or novel events. The main concept of Black Swan seems to coincide with that of chance discovery. Thus, in this paper, the author compares a chance with Black Swan and presents the future feather of chance discovery. In addition, the author will discuss how to discover the better chance from the viewpoint of abduction and affordance, and give formalization.

Date: 2013
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