Economic Impacts of the Government Investment Policy: Dynamic CGE Model

Tsenguunjav Byambasuren, Avralt-Od Purevjav () and Erdenetungalag Erdenekhuyag
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Erdenetungalag Erdenekhuyag: Institute of Finance and Economics, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia

International Journal of System Dynamics Applications (IJSDA), 2015, vol. 4, issue 1, 96-118

Abstract: The abundant natural resources can bring either positive or negative impact to the country's economy depending on the macroeconomic policies. Mongolia has massive mineral resource dominated by coal, copper, and gold. The Government of Mongolia has started to implement a number of infrastructure projects to decrease the mining project's cost burden caused from the country's weak infrastructure. This paper aims to assess the economic impact of the government investment policy towards the mining sector. In order to investigate the alternative options of the government investment policy, it uses a simulation analysis using the Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model which is developed for Mongolian economy. In the empirical analysis, this paper considers following two policy scenarios: Power plant and Copper refinery. The results suggest that both the policy scenarios have positive impact on the domestic economy, of which making the investment to power plant is the better option for the policy makers.

Date: 2015
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