Reaching an AIDS-Free Generation in Côte d'Ivoire, Data Driven Policy Design for HIV/AIDS Response Programs: Evidence-Based Policy Design for HIV/AIDS Response Programs in Côte d'Ivoire

Paulo Gonçalves and Simplice Takoubo Kamdem
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Paulo Gonçalves: Università della Svizzera Italiana (USI), Lugano, Switzerland
Simplice Takoubo Kamdem: USAID/PEPFAR, Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire

International Journal of System Dynamics Applications (IJSDA), 2016, vol. 5, issue 1, 43-62

Abstract: Sub-Saharan Africa is home to 24.7 million people living with HIV of an estimated total of 35.0 million people globally in 2013. It also accounts for almost 70% of the new HIV infections globally. In West Africa, Cote d'Ivoire has the highest HIV prevalence, or 3.7% of the 2012 population, and the two virus types (HIV-1 & HIV-2) are present. From an epidemiological standpoint, these unique attributes make Cote d'Ivoire unique. At the same time, existing HIV/AIDS modeling policies have being developed from the data of countries that do not have these peculiarities. This research develops a formal system dynamics model capturing the evolution of HIV/AIDS in Cote d'Ivoire for four decades, starting in 1990. The findings include a development of HIV/AIDS behavior pattern over time that led to the proposal of evidence-based policies.

Date: 2016
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