Determinants of credit ratings, sovereign bond spreads and real interest rates in emerging markets
Saygın Şahi̇nöz and
Rauf Gönenç
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Saygın Şahi̇nöz: TCMB
Rauf Gönenç: OECD
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Saygin Cevik
Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, 2011, vol. 26, issue 305, 09-35
Abstract:
The purpose of this paper is to examine the determinants of credit ratings, sovereign spreads and real interest rates for emerging market economies. Using panel data on a sample of 18 emerging markets for the period 1998 to 2008, the cross-sectional and time series dimensions of sovereign spreads, ratings and real interest rates are exploited. The results suggest that emerging markets should increase their growth, decrease their public debt and maintain the stability of their political institutions in order to improve their standing in international capital markets. Institutional quality is found to have a strong influence on credit ratings, monetary policy seems to influence both credit ratings and real interest rates and external balance has a particularly significant bearing on bond spreads of emerging countries. Results also indicate that global forces play a major role in determining real interest rates and bond spreads.
Keywords: Credit Rating; Sovereign Spread; Real Interest Rate; Emerging Markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 F34 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iif:iifjrn:v:26:y:2011:i:305:p:09-35
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