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Revising the Equation: Partisan Bias and Economic Voting Hypothesis in the Turkish Context

Emre Erdoğan
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Emre Erdoğan: Infakto RW/İstanbul Bilgi Üniversitesi

Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, 2013, vol. 28, issue 325, 27-60

Abstract: Economic voting theory is one of the most powerful explanations of voting behavior of ordinary citizens and it’s almost a part of democratic practice. This approach is heavily used in the Turkish context and models based on this model are very successful in estimating election results. However, there are some “revisionist” objections to basic premises of the economic voting approach. According to this approach, economic evaluations of voters are highly affected by their partisan affiliations, leading to a vicious cycle. This paper presents findings of a field research conducted in Istanbul, prior to the general elections of 2011 and aims to present how much economic perceptions of Turkish voters are biased. Findings show that economic evaluations of voters are highly biased and affected by their partisan affiliations.

Keywords: Voting Behavior; Economic Voting; Partisan Bias; Uncertainty; Voter Preferences (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 D83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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