Temporal Causality and the Dynamics of Exports, Human Capital and Real Income in China

Paresh Narayan () and Russell Smyth

The International Journal of Applied Economics, 2004, vol. 1, issue 1, 24-45

Abstract: This article employs cointegration and error-correction modelling to test the causal relationship between real income, exports and human capital stock using data for China over the period 1960 to 1999. We find that real exports, human capital and real income are cointegrated when real exports is the dependent variable, but are not cointegrated when human capital or real income are the dependent variable. In the short-run we find evidence of bi-directional Granger causality between human capital and real exports, unidirectional Granger causality running from real income to human capital and neutrality between real exports and real income.

Keywords: China; exports; human capital; causality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ija:ancoec:v:1:y:2004:i:1:p:24-45

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