Instability and Nonlinearity in the Euro-Area Phillips Curve
Livio Stracca () and
Dick van Dijk ()
International Journal of Central Banking, 2009, vol. 5, issue 2, 181-212
This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the functional form of the euro-area Phillips curve over the past three decades. In particular, compared with previous literature, we analyze the stability of the relationship in detail, especially as regards the possibility of a time-varying mean of inflation. Moreover, we conduct a sensitivity analysis across different measures of economic slack. Our main findings are two. First, there is strong evidence of time variation in the mean and slope of the Phillips curve occurring in the early to mid-1980s, but not in inflation persistence once the mean shift is allowed for. As a result of the structural change, the Phillips curve became flatter around a lower mean of inflation. Second, we find no significant evidence of nonlinearity - in particular, in relation to the output gap.
JEL-codes: E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations View citations in EconPapers (25) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Working Paper: Instability and nonlinearity in the euro area Phillips curve (2007)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2009:q:2:a:6
Access Statistics for this article
International Journal of Central Banking is currently edited by Loretta J. Mester
More articles in International Journal of Central Banking from International Journal of Central Banking
Series data maintained by Bank for International Settlements ().