EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Projected Population, Inequality and Social Expenditures: The Case of Flanders

Rembert De Blander, Ingrid Schockaert (), André Decoster () and Patrick Deboosere ()
Additional contact information
Ingrid Schockaert: Interface Demography, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium.
Patrick Deboosere: Interface Demography, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium.

International Journal of Microsimulation, 2017, vol. 10, issue 3, 92-133

Abstract: We investigate the budgetary and distributional effects of a demographic and economic evolution in Flanders between 2011 and 2031. We project demographic changes by means of two multi-state population projections (LiPro-projections), on the basis of which we statically reweigh the EU-SILC 2008 dataset. In addition, we assume a modest real exogenous ?meaning not induced by the demographic projections? growth rate of 1%. Population-wise, we find a pronounced ageing, a growth of single-headed households, mostly to the detriment of couples with children, and a closing generational gap in education. While income inequality exhibits a non-monotonous pattern over time (reaching a maximum around 2020), poverty steadily declines after 2011. We find a large increase in expenditures on pensions, which is, however, covered by the modest public income growth we assume, while keeping the tax system constant in real terms.

Keywords: INEQUALITY; POVERTY; POPULATION PROJECTIONS; BUDGETARY SUSTAINABILITY (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H24 H68 I32 J11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.microsimulation.org/IJM/V10_3/IJM_2017_10_3_4.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ijm:journl:v10:y:2017:i:3:p:92-133

Access Statistics for this article

International Journal of Microsimulation is currently edited by Matteo Richiardi

More articles in International Journal of Microsimulation from International Microsimulation Association
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Jinjing Li ().

 
Page updated 2020-10-17
Handle: RePEc:ijm:journl:v10:y:2017:i:3:p:92-133