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Un Gran VAR Bayesiano para la Economia Chilena

Wildo Gonzalez P. ()

Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, 2012, vol. 27, issue 2, 75-119

Abstract: This article develops a Large Bayesian VAR with more than 100 variables for the Chilean economy, as Banbura, Giannone and Reichlin (2010) shows that, when the degree of shrinkage is set in relation to the cross-sectional dimension of the sample (bayesian shrinkage), the forecasting performance of a VAR can be improved by adding macroeconomic variables and sectoral information. The results show that the large bayesian VAR compares favorably with some univariate models. It further examines the impulse response functions to a monetary shock, as well as some sectoral shocks

Keywords: Bayesian VAR; forecasting; bayesian shrinkage; large cross-sections (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C11 C13 C33 C53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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