Selecting between Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models: An Empirical Application to the Volatility of Stock Returns in Peru

Gabriel Rodríguez

Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, 2017, vol. 32, issue 1, 69-94

Abstract: An extensive family of univariate models of autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity is applied to Peru's daily stock market returns for the period January 3, 1992 to March 30, 2012 with four different specifications related to the distribution of the disturbance term. This concerns capturing the asymmetries of the behavior of the volatility, as well as the presence of heavy tails in these time series. Using different statistical tests and different criteria, the results show that: (i) the FIGARCH (1,1)-t is the best model among all symmetric models while the FIEGARCH (1,1)-Sk is selected from the class of asymmetrical models. Also, the model FIAPARCH (1,1)-t is selected from the class of asymmetric power models; (ii) the three models capture well the behavior of the conditional volatility; (iii) however, the empirical distribution of the standardized residuals shows that the behavior of the tails is not well captured by either model; (iv) the three models suggest the presence of long memory with estimates of the fractional parameter close to the region of nonstationarity.

Keywords: Univariate autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models; Peruvian stock market returns; volatility; symmetries; asymmetries; normal; t-Student; skewed t-Student; GED distribution (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C52 C58 G12 G17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/544

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ila:anaeco:v:32:y:2017:i:1:p:69-94

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from

Access Statistics for this article

Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review is currently edited by Carlos Ponce

More articles in Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review from Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Mauricio Tejada ().