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Low Inflation, Deflation, and Policies for Future Price Stability

John Taylor

Monetary and Economic Studies, 2001, vol. 19, issue S1, 35-51

Abstract: The effects of three different inflationary environments--high inflation, low inflation, and negative inflation--on real output stability are examined by looking at the experiences of Japan and the United States during the last 30 years. I begin by going back to see how things looked from the vantage point of the 1987 international conference at the Bank of Japan. Next I trace out how economic performance has evolved since then. Economic performance appears to have been better with low inflation than with either high inflation or negative inflation. I also look at some of the reasons for the different inflationary environments. I take both an interest rate policy rule approach and a quantity theory of money approach. Both approaches suggest that monetary policy has been the key factor in generating the different inflationary experiences.

JEL-codes: E31 E43 E52 O57 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2001
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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