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A Policy Model of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Screening and Intervention

Margaret L. Brandeau, Hau L. Lee, Douglas K. Owens, Carol H. Sox and Robert M. Wachter
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Margaret L. Brandeau: Department of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, Stanford University, Stanford, California 94305
Hau L. Lee: Department of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, Stanford University, Stanford, California 94305
Douglas K. Owens: Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Palo Alto, California 94304
Carol H. Sox: Department of Community and Family Medicine, Dartmouth College, Hanover, New Hampshire 03755
Robert M. Wachter: Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, California 94143

Interfaces, 1991, vol. 21, issue 3, 5-25

Abstract: The epidemics of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) and its causative agent, the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), are serious and growing. In response to the epidemic, policy makers have instituted a variety of interventions, often before careful studies of program costs and benefits have been carried out. We have developed an analytic decision model to assess HIV screening and intervention policies. The model is a dynamic compartmental epidemic model that captures disease transmission and disease progression, behavioral changes, and the effects of screening and other interventions. We illustrate the model by analyzing screening programs aimed at reducing the birthrate of HIV-infected infants.

Keywords: health care: epidemiology; decision analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1991
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