How the Gas Research Institute (GRI) Helped Transform the US Natural Gas Industry
William M. Burnett,
Dominic J. Monetta and
Barry G. Silverman
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William M. Burnett: Gas Research Institute, 8600 W. Bryn Mawr Avenue, Chicago, Illinois 60631
Dominic J. Monetta: 800 25th Street N.W., Washington, DC 20037
Barry G. Silverman: Institute for Artificial Intelligence, George Washington University, Washington, DC 20052
Interfaces, 1993, vol. 23, issue 1, 44-58
Abstract:
In the 1970s, natural gas was thought to be “a fuel with no future.” To change this, the industry formed a research and development (R&D) arm called the Gas Research Institute (GRI). Since 1978, the GRI R&D program has resulted in 132 commercial products, processes, or techniques that have helped turn natural gas into “the fuel of the future.” In doing this, GRI achieved a project success rate of 30 percent—or over twice the US industry-wide average—and a benefit-to-cost ratio of at least seven to one. This success is widely credited to the use of the project appraisal methodology (PAM), a multiattribute, decision analytic scoring function and group advisory process. PAM can be credited with half of the benefits achieved. These benefits are at least $11 billion and as high as $132 billion.
Keywords: industries: petroleum/natural gas; decision analysis applications (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1993
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:inm:orinte:v:23:y:1993:i:1:p:44-58
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