Long-run trends in internal migrations in italy: a study in panel cointegration with dependent units

Stefano Fachin

Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2007, vol. 22, issue 2, 401-428

Abstract: The objective of this paper is to examine the long-run determinants of internal migrations from southern Italy. In order to accomplish this task, the paper develops a bootstrap test for panel cointegration analysis with dependent units. Monte Carlo simulations show that the test, based on the Continuous-Path Block bootstrap, has good power and size properties and is robust to both short- and long-run dependence across units. The empirical analysis points to income in the sending region as a key factor of the decline of migrations, with unemployment and income differentials playing only a minor role. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Date: 2007
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DOI: 10.1002/jae.907

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