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The sustainability of export-led growth:the Singaporean experience

Renuka Mahadevan

Journal of Developing Areas, 2009, vol. 43, issue 1, 233-247

Abstract: This paper revisits the highly debated export-led growth hypothesis in a number of different ways using Singapore as a case study. First, the hypothesis is tested in terms of labor and total factor productivity growth and this provides a means of transmission via which exports can affect or be affected by GDP growth. Considering the impact of imports on GDP growth and productivity growth serve a similar purpose. The robustness of the relationships is checked using two different models given by a multivariate error correction model and the Toda and Yamamoto (1995) causality tests. These results have major implications and are necessary to reassess the effectiveness of trade policy as a strategy for economic development.

Keywords: Export-led growth; causality; productivity growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C13 F14 O53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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