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Modeling the dynamics of money income from a vector correction model

Mohammad S. Hasan ()
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Mohammad S. Hasan: King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, Saudi Arabia

Journal of Developing Areas, 2010, vol. 43, issue 2, 233-253

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to re-examine the empirical relationship among alternative monetary aggregates (M1 and M2), output, prices, interest rates and exchange rates in India. The results of a five-variate vector error correction model are indicative of a bi-directional causality between each of the monetary aggregates and prices. Our findings of a feedback relationship make each of the monetary aggregates a poor intermediate target and informational variable. Moreover, contrary to most recent research in this area, the results are supportive of the real business-cycle view and the Keynesian monetary accommodation hypothesis rather than the monetarists’ theory of the business cycle.

Keywords: Money-Income Relationship; Real Business Cycle Theory; Keynesian Monetary Accommodation Hypothesis; Vector Error correction Model; Variance Decompositions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E30 O11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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