HOW THE DOHA ROUND COULD SUPPORT THE AFRICAN INDUSTRY?

Hakim Ben Hammouda, Stephen Karingi, Nassim Oulmane and Mustapha Sadni Jallab ()
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Hakim Ben Hammouda: United Nations Economic Commission for Africa

Journal of Economic Development, 2007, vol. 32, issue 1, 59-103

Abstract: This study provides a quantitative evaluation of the Doha Round in terms of the market access for industrial products and the possible consequences of the trade liberalization process. It analyzes the impact of the reforms put forward by the July Package concluded in Geneva. The tariff reduction scenarios under review fit in with the commitments undertaken in the July Package. All four scenarios reviewed are based on a Girard formula. The first, third and fourth scenarios are ambitious, whereas the second is more conservative. Scenarios 1, 3 and 4 differ in the way they factor in special and differential (S&D) treatment. In terms of impact, the simulations show that a liberalization scenario based on an ambitious, non-linear Girard formula would be a less desirable alternative for Africa. It would allow for increases in the welfare and production of the African countries but would not boost African exports.

Keywords: Doha Round; African Industry; GTAP Model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:jed:journl:v:32:y:2007:i:1:p:59-103

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