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Demographic Transition In India Since 1951: A Critical Analysis (What will India’s future be regarding its Population?)

Ram Krishna Mandal

Journal of Global Economy, 2024, vol. 20, issue 3, 131-145

Abstract: The Indian state has no official religion. No religion is granted any particular position under our Constitution. The rights to profess, practise, and promote any religion—or to practise none at all—are guaranteed to all persons and groups under the Constitution. The goal is to examine the demographic shift of Hindus and Muslims in India since 1951. Method and Materials: The data used in this descriptive analysis come from secondary sources. Basic numerical calculations have been carried out here in addition to graphical representations. Result and Discussion: The Muslim community in India made up around 14.23% of the total population as per the 2011 Census. This percentage was far higher than the national average in a number of states, with the Union Territory of Lakshadweep, West Bengal, and undivided Jammu & Kashmir having the greatest concentration. Mathematical calculation proves on the basis of census data that after 237 years or before that, the population of Hindu will be equal to the population of Muslim and Bharat will approach towards Muslim country if it is going as it is and migration of Muslim is not stopped. Findings: In India, Islam is the religion that is expanding quickest. The census-wise percentage curve for Muslims is growing and upward sloping, whereas the curve for Hindus slopes downward. At a specific census, the two curves will intersect, signifying that the number of Hindus and that of Muslims will be equal. Suggestions: Immediately establish a Population Control Bill to limit the number of children per couple to one. Migration of Muslims for permanent settlement in Bharat should be stopped immediately. Conclusion: Encouraging sustainable development necessitates for stabilization of population growth. India's population is still a complicated subject that has to be carefully considered and effectively addressed by policy.

Keywords: Religion; Constitution; Hindus; Muslims; Population; Population Control Bill; Migration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: A2 R11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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