Which Parameters Determine the Development of Farm Numbers in Germany?: Dependency of the Results on the Segmentation of the Data

Röder Norbert () and Kilian Stefan ()
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Röder Norbert: Institute of Rural Studies, of the Johann Heinrich von Thu¨ nen-Institute (vTI), Bundesallee 50, 38116 Braunschweig, Germany
Kilian Stefan: TUM(Technische Universita¨ tMu¨ nchen), Environmental Economics and Agricultural Policy Group, Alte Akademie 14, 85350 Freising, Germany

Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2011, vol. 231, issue 3, 358-378

Abstract: In Germany, agricultural land use is very heterogeneous with respect to management orientation and productivity even at the local level. In addition, there is a wide variation in the reasons for farm exits. A review of the literature shows that a limited number of explanatory variables are generally accepted as being driving forces for farm exit rates. For the majority of indicators, ambiguous results are reported. In this paper, we analyse the determining factors of farm exit rates in Germany by examining municipalities from 1999 to 2007.We evaluate the robustness of the relationship between a set of explanatory variables and farm exit rates at different spatial scales.Our results indicate that the direction of impact of some variables (farm size, population density and the share of ruminants kept at low intensity as a fraction of the total ruminant stock) on farm exit rates is unambiguous throughout Germany. For the majority of the analysed explanatory variables, the strength of their impact on farm exit rates depends on their observation level or regional context.

Keywords: Farm exit rates; agriculture; data mining; regionalisation; MAUP; zone effect; Farm exit rates; agriculture; data mining; regionalisation; MAUP; zone effect (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:231:y:2011:i:3:p:358-378

DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2011-0305

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