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Dating Business Cycles in Historical Perspective: Evidence for Switzerland

Boriss Siliverstovs

Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2013, vol. 233, issue 5-6, 661-679

Abstract: In this study we suggest a chronology of the classical business cycle in Switzerland based on dating algorithms suggested in Artis et al. (2004) and Harding and Pagan (2002). A further contribution of our study is that we determine the sensitivity of the chronology with respect to the particular GDP vintage used. For this purpose we employ a real-time database that contains 59 vintages of GDP data starting from 1997Q4 and ending in 2012Q2. We show that major changes in identified phases of the classical business cycle in Switzerland can be well traced to several benchmark revisions to the national accounts. In the absence of benchmark revisions the vintage-to-vintage variation exerts a comparatively minor effect on identified phases of the classical business cycle.

Keywords: Classical business cycle; turning points; GDP revisions; Switzerland; Classical business cycle; turning points; GDP revisions; Switzerland (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:233:y:2013:i:5-6:p:661-679

DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2013-5-607

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