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Terrorism and International Tourism: The Case of Germany

Gabriel Ahlfeldt, Franke Bastian () and Wolfgang Maennig
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Franke Bastian: University of Hamburg, Department of Economics, Chair for Economic Policy, Von-Melle-Park 5, 20146 Hamburg, Germany

Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2015, vol. 235, issue 1, 3-21

Abstract: We analyse how German tourists react to unanticipated shocks that alter their risk perception of selected tourism destinations. Using a difference-in-difference strategy which flexibly accounts for macroeconomic conditions and also addresses potential problems of serial correlation, we isolate significant effects of the 9/11 (2001) terrorist attacks, as well as for the attacks in Egypt (1997), Tunisia (2002), Morocco (2003) and Indonesia (2003). These terror attacks impacted especially on Islamic countries all over the world, indicating a transmission mechanism driven by ethnic and religious proximity. At the same time, tourism into Islamic countries was temporarily substituted by tourism to (south) European countries.

Keywords: Terrorism; 9/11; Islamic countries; tourism demand (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Working Paper: Terrorism and international tourism: the case of Germany (2015) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:235:y:2015:i:1:p:3-21

DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2015-0103

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