How Much Trouble Is Early Foul Trouble? Strategically Idling Resources in the NBA

Allan Maymin (), Philip Maymin () and Eugene Shen ()
Additional contact information
Allan Maymin: AllianceBernstein
Philip Maymin: NYU-Polytechnic Institute
Eugene Shen: AllianceBernstein

International Journal of Sport Finance, 2012, vol. 7, issue 4, 324-339

Abstract: We analyze a large and comprehensive play-by-play dataset of professional games in the National Basketball Association using tools from financial economics to explore the optimality of strategically idling resources in the face of uncertain future demand. We find that starters ought to be idled by the coach on a “Q+1” basis, meaning that a starter has one more foul than the current quarter, when the future option value is high or the value of the replacement player is high. We use a novel win-probability approach that can be easily extended to other applications.

Keywords: strategic idling; foul trouble; win probability; NBA (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.fitinfotech.com/IJSF/IJSFbackissueWVU.tpl (text/html)
Full-text download requires subscription from FIT.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:jsf:intjsf:v:7:y:2012:i:4:p:324-339

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.fitinfote ... IJSFbackissueWVU.tpl

Access Statistics for this article

International Journal of Sport Finance is currently edited by Arne Feddersen, Babatunde Buraimo, Joachim Prinz and Jane Ruseski

More articles in International Journal of Sport Finance from Fitness Information Technology
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Victor Matheson ().