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Central Bank Intervention in USD/INR Market: Estimating Its Reaction Function and Impact on Volatility

Smita Roy Trivedi and P. G. Apte
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P. G. Apte: Narsee Monji Institute of Management Studies

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, 2016, vol. 23, issue 3, No 2, 263-279

Abstract: Abstract Econometric evidence on why central banks intervene in the foreign exchange market and the impact of such intervention has remained inconclusive. We contribute to the literature with evidence from India, a managed float regime that sees consistent monitoring and intervention by Reserve Bank of India, India’s central bank. Estimation of the central bank reaction function shows that increased volatility in the foreign exchange market and misalignment from targeted rates are important objectives behind intervention. The paper further uses the GARCH framework to study how intervention influences exchange rate volatility. We find that intervention in the spot market increases volatility while that in the forward market reduces volatility.

Keywords: Central bank intervention; Exchange rate volatility; Foreign exchange markets; GARCH analysis; Intervention reaction function (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C01 E58 F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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DOI: 10.1007/s10690-016-9218-6

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