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Market Efficiency of Commodity Derivatives with Reference to Nonagricultural Commodities

Hema Divya Kantamaneni () and Vasudeva Reddy Asi ()
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Hema Divya Kantamaneni: Koneru Lakshmaiah Education Foundation
Vasudeva Reddy Asi: Koneru Lakshmaiah Education Foundation

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, 2023, vol. 30, issue 1, No 12, 247-258

Abstract: Abstract The main objective of this paper is to study the market efficiency of nonagricultural commodities markets. Based on the review of literature, the present study tries to find out whether there is a cointegration, lead and lag relation in spot and futures market prices of identified non agricultural commodities traded in multi commodities exchange, using Stationary tests Cointegration and Regression Model which explains Casual relationship between Spot and Futures Markets. The study find that futures prices cause spot prices and vice versa and suggests that no profitable arbitrage exists and investor cannot book profit since new information already gets to be discounted by spot and futures prices simultaneously. The main contribution of the study is empirically identified and proves that there is a casual relationship between futures and spot which helps the investor to forecast the price with respect to Non Agricultural commodities.

Keywords: Capital market; Investment decisions; Time series; Stock price (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C58 G10 G11 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1007/s10690-023-09400-3

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