Bayesian Estimation of ARMA-GARCH Model of Weekly Foreign Exchange Rates
Teruo Nakatsuma and
Hiroki Tsurumi ()
Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, 1999, vol. 6, issue 1, 84 pages
Abstract:
Three Bayesian methods (Markov chain Monte Carlo, Laplace approximation and quadrature formula) are developed to estimate the parameters of the ARMA-GARCH model. The ARMA-GARCH model is applied to weekly foreign exchange rate data of five major currencies, and their stochastic volatilities are judged by the posterior probabilities of stationarity and other conditions. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1999
Keywords: GARCH; foreign exchange rate; Bayesian inference (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1999
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:kap:apfinm:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:71-84
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DOI: 10.1023/A:1010058509622
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