Bubbles and Market Crashes
Michael Youssefmir,
Bernardo A Huberman and
Tad Hogg
Computational Economics, 1998, vol. 12, issue 2, 97-114
Abstract:
We present a dynamical theory of asset price bubbles that exhibits the appearance of bubbles and their subsequent crashes. We show that when speculative trends dominate over fundamental beliefs, bubbles form, leading to the growth of asset prices away from their fundamental value. This growth makes the system increasingly susceptible to any exogenous shock, thus eventually precipitating a crash. We also present computer experiments which in their aggregate behavior confirm the predictions of the theory. Citation Copyright 1998 by Kluwer Academic Publishers.
Date: 1998
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