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Optimal Pricing of Climate Risk

Thomas F. Coleman (), Nicole S. Dumont (), Wanqi Li (), Wenbin Liu () and Alexey Rubtsov ()
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Thomas F. Coleman: University of Waterloo
Nicole S. Dumont: University of Waterloo
Wanqi Li: University of Waterloo
Alexey Rubtsov: Ryerson University

Computational Economics, 2022, vol. 60, issue 3, No 12, 1134 pages

Abstract: Abstract The climate change model of Daniel et al. (Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 116(42):20886-20891, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1817444116) is an important contribution to the carbon pricing literature. However, the computational methodology proposed in this paper is costly, thus limiting the flexibility and scalability of this basic approach. In this paper we introduce several modern computational techniques, often used in optimization applications, such as vectorization and automatic differentiation for gradient computation, to dramatically improve computational performance: this allows for increased scalability and sensitivity analysis (including the analysis of suboptimal policies). Such studies are reported in this paper yielding a number of new experimental insights. For example, our new code illustrates the cost of postponing climate change mitigation is significant. Specifically, postponing climate change mitigation until 2030 is equivalent to giving up $5.4 trillion (in 2015 US dollars).

Keywords: Automatic differentiation; Vectorization; Large-scale optimization; Climate change; Social cost of carbon (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D81 Q5 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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DOI: 10.1007/s10614-021-10179-6

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