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Identifying Safe Haven Assets: Evidence from Fractal Market Hypothesis

P. S. Niveditha ()
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P. S. Niveditha: Affiliated to Cochin University of Science and Technology (CUSAT)

Computational Economics, 2025, vol. 65, issue 1, No 11, 313-335

Abstract: Abstract In this study, an attempt is made to identify commonly considered safe-haven assets through the Fractal Market Hypothesis (FMH) which assumes that the market is made up of heterogeneous agents and that there will be a dominance of the short-term investment horizon over the long-term investment horizon during a crisis period. The study considers the COVID-19 crisis as a critical period and examines the fractal behavior of the most commonly considered safe-haven assets (Gold, Bitcoin, Swiss franc and US dollar) for the sample period of 2015–2022 by using Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) methodology. The findings indicate that potential safe-haven assets can be identified through FMH. It also examines the potential safe-haven asset’s properties in more detail by employing a new methodology; the Wavelet Quantile Correlation (WQC) method. The study found that Gold is a safe haven only for the short run, whereas Bitcoin is a good diversifier. From the currencies, the Swiss franc is also not a good safe haven both in the short run and long run, and the US dollar is a safe haven for the long run.

Keywords: Fractal market hypothesis; Safe-haven assets; Wavelets; COVID-19 crisis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G10 G14 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1007/s10614-024-10572-x

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