Potential Economic Effects of TTIP for the Netherlands

Hugo Rojas-Romagosa

De Economist, 2017, vol. 165, issue 3, No 2, 294 pages

Abstract: Abstract The transatlantic trade and investment partnership (TTIP) is a comprehensive preferential trade agreement that is expected to significantly increase EU–US bilateral trade and investments. Negotiations are ongoing, so we use a scenario analysis to estimate the potential effects of TTIP under likely negotiated outcomes. In our main scenario, we assume a final trade deal where current tariffs are eliminated and non-tariff barriers are significantly reduced. We simulate the potential economic effects of TTIP using a CGE model. We find that US-Dutch bilateral trade doubles and this is translated into a positive but moderate effect on Dutch income of 1.7%.

Keywords: TTIP; Preferential trade agreements; CGE models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C68 F13 F17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1007/s10645-017-9293-8

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