China's Exchange Rate and the Balance of Trade

Josef Brada, Ali Kutan and Su Zhou

Economic Change and Restructuring, 1993, vol. 26, issue 3, 229-42

Abstract: This paper examines the responsiveness of the balance of trade of the People's Republic of China to the real exchange rate. We find that, in both the short-run and the long-run, devaluation serves to improve the balance of trade. Using quarterly data for 1980:1 to 1989:4 we show that the bulk of the response to devaluation occurs over a one-year period, with no J-curve effect. These results suggest that the two-tier price system and other measures to liberalize the Chinese economy have made the exchange rate an effective indirect tool for regulating trade. Copyright 1993 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Date: 1993
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