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International asset allocation using the market implied cost of capital

Patrick Bielstein ()
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Patrick Bielstein: Technical University of Munich

Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, 2018, vol. 32, issue 1, No 2, 17-51

Abstract: Abstract The Black and Litterman (Financ Anal J 48(5):28–43, 1992) (BL) approach to portfolio optimization requires investor views on expected asset returns as an input. I demonstrate that the market implied cost of capital (ICC) is ideal for quantifying those views on a country level. I benchmark this approach against a BL optimization using time-series models as investor views, the equally weighted portfolio, and allocation methods based on stock market capitalization and GDP. I find that the ICC portfolio offers an increase in average return of 2.1 percentage points (yearly) as compared to the value-weighted portfolio, while having a similar standard deviation. The resulting difference in Sharpe ratios is statistically significant and robust to the inclusion of transaction costs, varying BL parameters, and a less strictly defined investment universe.

Keywords: International asset allocation; Black–Litterman optimization; Implied cost of capital (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G11 G17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11408-017-0302-3

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