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U.S. – Italy commodity trade and the J-curve: new evidence from asymmetry analysis

Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee and Ridha Nouira ()
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Ridha Nouira: EAS and FSEG Mahdia, Monastir University-Tunisia

International Economics and Economic Policy, 2021, vol. 18, issue 1, No 3, 73-103

Abstract: Abstract Previous studies that tried to assess the J-curve phenomenon for Italy employed linear models and found little support for the phenomenon. In this paper we employ nonlinear models and estimate asymmetric J-curve effects for each of the 58 industries that trade between Italy and the United States. From estimates of the linear and nonlinear models we found support for the J-curve effect in 12 industries. The largest industry with 11.7% trade share was subject to the J-curve effect from the nonlinear model. Estimates of the nonlinear models also supported short-run asymmetric effects in 48 industries but long run asymmetric effects in 29.

Keywords: J-curve; Industry data; The United States; Italy; Asymmetry analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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DOI: 10.1007/s10368-020-00472-4

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