Economics at your fingertips  

An international reserves variation threshold to increase loan funding

Wilfredo Maldonado (), Jorge Guillén () and Jussara Ribeiro ()
Additional contact information
Jorge Guillén: Universidad ESAN
Jussara Ribeiro: Catholic University of Brasília

International Economics and Economic Policy, 2021, vol. 18, issue 2, No 1, 247-265

Abstract: Abstract In this article we propose a methodology for the calculation of an international reserves variation threshold that defines the lending decisions of international creditors to developing countries. If the change in net international reserves of the borrowing variation is above that of the threshold, the creditors are willing to lend more. Otherwise, if that change is below the threshold, there will be capital flight. Such a threshold depends on the stocks of debt and international reserves, as well as on the perception of the default risk of the country to honour its debts. Using that threshold, we perform a counterfactual exercise to calculate the time series of international reserve levels that minimize the total cost of reserves holding, namely, the cost of possible illiquidity of the country plus the opportunity cost of holding international reserves. We illustrate the methodology by applying it to five Latin American countries: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico and Peru.

Keywords: International debt; Default risk; International reserves (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link) Abstract (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer. ... cs/journal/10368/PS2

DOI: 10.1007/s10368-021-00491-9

Access Statistics for this article

International Economics and Economic Policy is currently edited by Paul J.J. Welfens, Holger C. Wolf, Christian Pierdzioch and Christian Richter

More articles in International Economics and Economic Policy from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().

Page updated 2021-05-29
Handle: RePEc:kap:iecepo:v:18:y:2021:i:2:d:10.1007_s10368-021-00491-9