The Effect of CUSFTA and NAFTA on Canada’s Export Composition
Manouchehr Barjesteh Maleki (),
Hamed Samarghandi () and
Joel Bruneau ()
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Manouchehr Barjesteh Maleki: University of Saskatchewan
Hamed Samarghandi: University of Saskatchewan
Joel Bruneau: University of Saskatchewan
Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 2025, vol. 25, issue 1, No 14, 35 pages
Abstract:
Abstract This research analyzes the effect of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and its predecessor, the Canada-USA Free Trade Agreement (CUSFTA), on the evolution of the export composition of Canada. This research applies a multivariate time series model to measure Canada’s export composition using 11 indices including diversification, extensive margin, intensive margin, product sophistication, and economic complexity. These measures are crucial in assessing the trade risk and economic development potential of a country. This study extends the literature by computing and assessing a comprehensive set of measures of export performance (11 measures) and using a long time series spanning five decades (1970–2019). The results indicate that, for Canada, higher economic integration through a free trade agreement with the USA is associated with a positive change in export diversity estimated by the Herfindahl-Hirschman and intensive margin index.
Keywords: CUSFTA and NAFTA; Product diversification; Herfindahl-Hirschman index; Intensive margin; Extensive margin; Product sophistication; Economic complexity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 F14 F15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:kap:jincot:v:25:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s10842-025-00448-7
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DOI: 10.1007/s10842-025-00448-7
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