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Where, When, and by How Much Does Abnormal Weather Affect Housing Construction?

James T Fergus

The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 1999, vol. 18, issue 1, 63-87

Abstract: This article investigates whether departures from normal in precipitation or temperature have a significant contemporaneous effect on housing starts in each month of the year, for the nation as a whole and in each of the four Census regions. It also evaluates the extent to which these immediate effects are reversed in later months. The results indicate that atypical weather has statistically significant effects on the change in housing starts that are concentrated in the months of the first quarter and that the magnitude of these effects is quite substantial. However, such effects also are found in some other months as well. Significant lagged effects are found that tend to offset the contemporaneous effects of weather deviations. Copyright 1999 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Date: 1999
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The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics is currently edited by Steven R. Grenadier, James B. Kau and C.F. Sirmans

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