Mortgage Fund Flows, Capital Appreciation, and Real Estate Cycles
Jim Clayton and
The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 2013, vol. 47, issue 2, 243-265
This paper provides strong evidence for a positive feedback loop between property prices and mortgage supply, using data from the U.S. commercial property and mortgage markets over the 1991 to 2011 period. The empirical analyses control for the endogeneity of property prices, mortgage flows, mortgage interest rates, and loan to value ratios, and provide two main findings. First, exogenous increases in mortgage supply, measured with the growth of the CMBS market, significantly reduce property cap rates. Second, volatility of past price changes and the “biggest loss” in property values in the past significantly affect mortgage supply. This positive feedback loop may be an important driving force for real estate cycles. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2013
Keywords: Real estate cycles; Commercial real estate; Mortgage fund flows; Positive feedback loop; G12; E32; E44 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:47:y:2013:i:2:p:243-265
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer. ... ce/journal/11146/PS2
Access Statistics for this article
The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics is currently edited by Steven R. Grenadier, James B. Kau and C.F. Sirmans
More articles in The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla ().