Determinants of Mortgage Interest Rates: Treasuries versus Swaps
C. Sirmans (),
Stanley Smith () and
G. Sirmans ()
The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 2015, vol. 50, issue 1, 34-51
Abstract:
The 10-year Treasury rate has long been considered the primary determinant of 30-year mortgage interest rates. The contemporaneous 10-year LIBOR swap rate is shown to better explain the contemporaneous mortgage rate than the contemporaneous 10-year Treasury rate. This result appears to hold over most of the sample period, 1987–2011, using a variety of statistical tests. Given the long-held belief that the mortgage rate is best explained by the 10-year Treasury rate, this paper makes an important contribution to the literature by demonstrating that the swap rate is superior. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2015
Keywords: Treasury rate; Mortgage rate determinants; Swap derivatives; LIBOR swap rate (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:50:y:2015:i:1:p:34-51
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DOI: 10.1007/s11146-013-9445-9
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