Pricing the global health risks of the COVID-19 pandemic

W Viscusi

Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2020, vol. 61, issue 2, No 1, 128 pages

Abstract: Abstract Policies to address the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) require a balancing of the health risk reductions and the costs of economic dislocations. Application of the value of a statistical life (VSL) to monetize COVID-19 deaths produces a U.S. mortality cost estimate of $1.4 trillion for deaths in the first half of 2020. This article presents worldwide COVID-19 costs for over 100 countries. The total global mortality cost through July 2, 2020 is $3.5 trillion. The United States accounts for 25% of the deaths, but 41% of the mortality cost. Adjustments for the shorter life expectancy and lower income of the victims substantially reduces the estimated monetized losses, but may raise fundamental equity concerns. Morbidity effects of COVID-19 affect many more patients than do the disease’s mortality risks. Consideration of the morbidity effects increase the expected health losses associated with COVID-19 illnesses by 10% to 40%.

Keywords: Coronavirus; COVID-19; Value of statistical life; VSL; Mortality; Morbidity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H40 I18 J17 K32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (40)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11166-020-09337-2

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