Application of the Extended Log Quad Model to Municipal Life Tables

Yu Horiguchi ()
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Yu Horiguchi: Keio University

Population Research and Policy Review, 2024, vol. 43, issue 4, No 7, 19 pages

Abstract: Abstract In this study, we improve on the research results of relational models that enable life table estimates from a small number of demographic indices, such as the Log Quad Model by Wilmoth et al. (Popul Stud 66(1):1–28, 2012) and the Extended Log Quad Model 1 by Horiguchi (J Popul Stud 58:13–28, 2022). Consequently, we propose the Extended Log Quad Model 2. This is a mortality rate model that reflects the remarkable improvement in old-age mortality rates in Japan since the 1970s. This is intended for application to the estimation of municipal life tables in Japan. The Extended Log Quad Model 2 is useful for municipal policymaking because it is possible to estimate future life tables with a high level of accuracy by projecting only life expectancy at the age of 65. It is also suggested that the Extended Log Quad Model 2 will be applicable to other developed countries, such as Australia, Canada, France, and New Zealand.

Keywords: The Extended Log Quad Model; Municipal life tables; Mortality rate; Japan (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1007/s11113-024-09899-y

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