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A nonlinear principal component analysis of the relationship between budget rules and fiscal performance in the European Union

Francesco Lagona and Fabio Padovano ()

Public Choice, 2007, vol. 130, issue 3, 436 pages

Abstract: Tests of the relationship between budget rules and fiscal performance are metric sensitive and arbitrary in the evaluation of the stringency of the rules, in the aggregation of these evaluations in an index and in the imposition of a linearly specified model. We propose a nonlinear principal component analysis to solve these problems and evaluate the relative disciplinary power of each rule. A battery of panel regressions on 1980–2003 optimally transformed data relative to 12 EU countries confirms that, upon controlling for standard economic, political and institutional variables, more stringent rules reduce fiscal imbalances and budget size. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2007

Keywords: Budget rules; Fiscal performance; Nonlinear principal components (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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DOI: 10.1007/s11127-006-9095-z

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