EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Youth bulges, insurrections and labor-market restrictions

Thomas Apolte and Lena Gerling ()
Additional contact information
Lena Gerling: University of Münster

Public Choice, 2018, vol. 175, issue 1, 63-93

Abstract: Abstract This paper analyzes the link between large youth cohorts and violent conflicts when labor-market restrictions are present. Such restrictions are expected to limit the youth cohort’s access to income opportunities in the formal economy, and thus lower the youth-specific opportunity cost of insurrection activities. We develop a theoretical model of insurrection markets and integrate the youth cohort’s relative size. In equilibrium, a binding labor-market constraint interacts with the youth bulge in determining the level of insurrection activities within the society. We test the implications of our model on a sample of 135 non-OECD countries in the post-Cold War period and find the effect of the youth cohort’s relative size on conflict onsets to be moderated by changes in the labor-market conditions as measured by unemployment rates. Generally, the results provide evidence that the underlying institutional setting shapes the conflict potential inherent in a given demographic structure.

Keywords: Youth bulges; Demography; Insurrections; Political economy of revolutions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H56 J10 J22 P16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11127-018-0514-8 Abstract (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:175:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11127-018-0514-8

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer. ... ce/journal/11127/PS2

Access Statistics for this article

Public Choice is currently edited by WIlliam F. Shughart II

More articles in Public Choice from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla ().

 
Page updated 2019-10-11
Handle: RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:175:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11127-018-0514-8