External validation of voter turnout models by concealed parameter recovery
Antonio Merlo () and
Thomas R. Palfrey ()
Additional contact information
Thomas R. Palfrey: California Institute of Technology
Public Choice, 2018, vol. 176, issue 1, No 16, 297-314
Abstract We conduct a model validation analysis of several behavioral models of voter turnout, using laboratory data. We call our method of model validation concealed parameter recovery, where estimation of a model is done under a veil of ignorance about some of the experimentally controlled parameters—in this case voting costs. We use quantal response equilibrium as the underlying, common structure for estimation, and estimate models of instrumental voting, altruistic voting, expressive voting, and ethical voting. All the models except the ethical voting model recover the concealed parameters reasonably well. We also report the results of a counterfactual analysis based on the recovered parameters, to compare the policy implications of the different models about the cost of a subsidy to increase turnout.
Keywords: Voter turnout; Model validation; Concealed parameter recovery; Laboratory experiments (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 C52 C92 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11127-018-0523-7 Abstract (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
Working Paper: External Validation of Voter Turnout Models by Concealed Parameter Recovery (2014)
Working Paper: External Validation of Voter Turnout Models by Concealed Parameter Recovery (2013)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:176:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11127-018-0523-7
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer. ... ce/journal/11127/PS2
Access Statistics for this article
Public Choice is currently edited by WIlliam F. Shughart II
More articles in Public Choice from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla ().