Measuring state power in presidential elections

Terrence Levesque

Public Choice, 1984, vol. 42, issue 3, 295-310

Abstract: This essay describes a method that uses state voting records to calculate the probability that a state is pivotal in presidential elections. The method takes into consideration the changes in state voting patterns that occur at critical elections, and a separate power index is calculated for each period of stable state voting patterns. This results in a more descriptive measure of power when the resulting indices are compared with a similar index based on voting records from several different periods. Copyright Martinus Nijhoff Publishers 1984

Date: 1984
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DOI: 10.1007/BF00124948

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