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Monetary policy and presidential elections: A nonpartisan political cycle

David Hakes

Public Choice, 1988, vol. 57, issue 2, 175-182

Abstract: This paper develops a Federal Reserve reaction function which relates policy intentions to forecasts of policy objectives. Pre- and postpresidential election estimates of this reaction function for the post-Accord period of 1953–1984 suggest two conclusions: (1) the Federal Reserve reacts differently to economic conditions in the pre- and postelection biennia and (2) these differences in Fed behavior are not likely the result of partisan political influence, but rather the result of self-restraint by the Fed during preelection periods. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1988

Date: 1988
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DOI: 10.1007/BF00052404

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