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Post-merger Price Dynamics Matters, So Why Do Merger Retrospectives Ignore It?

Franco Mariuzzo () and Peter L. Ormosi ()
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Franco Mariuzzo: University of East Anglia
Peter L. Ormosi: University of East Anglia

Review of Industrial Organization, 2019, vol. 55, issue 3, No 4, 403-429

Abstract: Abstract The overwhelming majority of retrospective merger studies pool the post-merger data to estimate the average price effect of the merger. Pooled post-merger estimates ignore key information about price dynamics and are unable to identify if post-merger prices revert to pre-merger levels within the same time period. We provide evidence—from a meta-analysis of over 600 previous market-level price effect estimates, and a set of Monte Carlo experiments—that using pooled models often leads to erroneous conclusions: for example by wrongly concluding that the merger increased prices, even when this price increase was only temporary.

Keywords: Mergers; Merger retrospectives; Meta study; Monte Carlo simulations; C51; K21; L49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11151-019-09719-0

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