The non-linear impact of risk tolerance on entrepreneurial profit and business survival

Melanie Koch () and Lukas Menkhoff ()
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Melanie Koch: Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB)
Lukas Menkhoff: Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin

Small Business Economics, 2025, vol. 64, issue 4, No 4, 1643-1670

Abstract: Abstract Entrepreneurs tend to be risk tolerant but is higher risk tolerance always better? In a sample of about 2100 small businesses, we find an inverted U-shaped relation between risk tolerance and profitability. This relationship holds in a simple bilateral regression, and even after controlling for a large set of individual and business characteristics. Apparently, one major transmission goes from risk tolerance via investments to profits. This is quite robust as it applies for both past and planned investments. Considering business survival, we show, first, that less profitable businesses leave the market while moderately risk tolerant entrepreneurs survive more often. Second, the high risk-low profit part of the U-shaped relation seems to disappear among businesses being 4 years and older, indicating that such inferior risk-profit combinations disappear over time. These findings are important for the concept of business readiness trainings as the motivation (and ability) to take risks should potentially be accompanied by some warning that taking too much risk can be detrimental to long-term business success.

Keywords: Risk tolerance; Entrepreneurs; Profits; Investments (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D22 D81 L26 M21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1007/s11187-024-00956-6

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