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Explaining Regional Variation in Business Births and Deaths: U.S. 1976-88

Paul D Reynolds, Brenda Miller and Wilbur R Maki

Small Business Economics, 1995, vol. 7, issue 5, 389-407

Abstract: Linear models are developed to determine the relative impact of 15 start-up processes on the annual regional birth rate of new business organizations for all industry sectors in the U.S. over 6 two-year periods. These stable linear models explained from 50-70 percent of the variation in regional firm birth and death rates up to 16 years into the future. Start-up processes that have the most impact involve regional economic diversity; population growth; greater personal wealth; presence of mid-career adults; low unemployment; and greater flexibility in employment relationships. There was a complete absence of any impact of regional variation associated with higher densities of customers, suppliers, workers, R&D resources; costs of production; or access to national transportation facilities. Copyright 1995 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Date: 1995
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