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Does Learning Diminish Violations of Independence, Coalescing and Monotonicity?

Steven Humphrey ()

Theory and Decision, 2006, vol. 61, issue 2, 93-128

Abstract: Violations of expected utility theory are sometimes attributed to imprecise preferences interacting with a lack of learning opportunity in the experimental laboratory. This paper reports an experimental test of whether a learning opportunity which engenders accurate probability assessments, by enhancing understanding of the meaning of stated probability information, causes anomalous behaviour to diminish. The data show that whilst in some cases expected utility maximising behaviour increases with the learning opportunity, so too do systematic violations. Therefore, there should be no presumption that anomalous behaviour under risk is transient and that discovered preferences will be appropriately described by expected utility theory. Copyright Springer 2006

Keywords: discovered preferences; event-splitting effects; independence; monotonicity; probability learning (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11238-006-8047-x

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