El pensamiento de escenarios como estrategia para el análisis institucional en universidades latinoamericanas

César Cisternas Irarrázabal
Additional contact information
César Cisternas Irarrázabal: Núcleo Científico-Tecnológico en Ciencias Sociales y Humanidades, Universidad de La Frontera, Chile.

Revista Ciencias Administrativas (CADM), IIA, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, 2024, issue 24, No 4, 12 pages

Abstract: Higher education institutions environment undergoes constant changes, which greatly increases the complexity and uncertainty that universities around the world and, in particular, those from Latin America must process. This essay outlines a theoretical and methodological model for using the scenario thinking method as a strategy in university institutional analysis aimed at generating evidence for decision-making in contexts of high uncertainty. It begins by exposing the characteristics of the Latin America’s university and its environment, continuing with a discussion on the nature of the organizational environment and the contribution of the scenarios to its observation. Finally, we present guidelines for its application is presented concerning three dimensions: (1) sources of evidence and management of non-knowledge, (2) structural characteristics of the university environment, and (3) methodological procedures on which the contribution of these scenarios should be based.

Keywords: Latin America; higher education; scenario thinking (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://revistas.unlp.edu.ar/CADM/article/view/14694 (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:lap:recadm:197

DOI: 10.24215/23143738e139

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Revista Ciencias Administrativas (CADM), IIA, Universidad Nacional de La Plata from Instituto de Investigaciones Administrativas, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Ana Clara Calabria ().